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Market Basicsintermediate
WIDTH OF OUTCOMESNOT DIRECTIONLAST MONTH'S RULER

Volatility

The degree of price variation over time. High volatility means bigger swings — more opportunity and more risk.

Volatility measures how much a security's price fluctuates over a given period. It is the statistical heartbeat of a market — high volatility means large, fast price moves; low volatility means slow, steady drift.

Historical (realized) volatility is calculated from past price data using standard deviation of returns. Implied volatility (IV) is derived from options prices and reflects the market's expectation of future volatility.

Volatility is not directional — a highly volatile stock can be moving up or down sharply. For options traders, volatility is the primary driver of premium pricing. For equity traders, it dictates position sizing and stop placement.

On the desk

If ATR doubles, a stop that used to be 8 ticks may now sit inside normal noise. Either widen and cut size, or skip — do not keep both the old stop and the old size.

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