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BULL POWERBEAR POWERFORCE INDEX

Elder Ray Index

Measures the power of bulls (high minus EMA) and bears (low minus EMA) relative to an exponential moving average to gauge trend and momentum together.

Also called Bull Power · Bear Power

Formula
Bull Power = High − EMA(13);
Bear Power = Low − EMA(13)

Developed by Dr. Alexander Elder, the Elder Ray Index splits into two components: Bull Power (bar high minus the 13-period EMA) and Bear Power (bar low minus the 13-period EMA). Positive Bull Power means bulls pushed price above the trend; negative Bear Power means bears pushed it below.

Elder used it as a three-screen confirmation: first identify the weekly trend, then trade in its direction on the daily when Bear Power (for longs) is negative but rising. A Bear Power reading crossing zero from below warns against new longs. The indicator rewards traders who combine it with trend context rather than using it in isolation.

Related terms